/** mybloglog update news*/

Tuesday, November 11, 2008

Always at your service! - Fund administration....

The third of six articles written by Rolf Majcen, Managing Director FTC Capital GmbH, Vienna, Austria, www.ftc.at:

Gibraltar provides competitive alternatives for the hedge fund industry, be it as a domicile for establishing new funds (or a home for redomiciling of existing funds) or - irrespective thereof - as a location for administering hedge funds domiciled elsewhere.

Gibraltar is flexible and friendly. It is an exciting place to do funds business. The rationale of the Gibraltar Financial Services Commission (FSC) is obvious - make it a quick and painless process, to enable funds to launch efficiently in Gibraltar. The competitive Experienced Investor Fund-Regime, which was developed in August 2005, enhanced Gibraltar's attraction as a domicile for alternative investment funds and a good number of hedge funds, private equity funds and property funds have already gone down that route. Authorisation under the EIF Regulations is based on a system of self-certification by the investor, the fund administrator and the fund's lawyer. But Gibraltar is not simply a fund domicile. It's forward-thinking legislation and straightforward regulation enables the local fund administrators not only to specialise in administration capabilities and corporate services for structures domiciled in Gibraltar but also for funds established in other jurisdictions.

Traditionally the hedge fund route has been to domicile hedge funds in offshore jurisdictions such as the Cayman Islands, and to a lesser extent, the British Virgin Islands and Bermuda but have them administered in Dublin and listed on the Irish Stock Exchange. However, competition for alternative fund administration business has become intense as it has grown from a small and relatively specialised activity into a mainstream field. Gibraltar has started to get in on that act by servicing sophisticated funds domiciled in other countries. A significant number of these are hedge funds registered in the Caribbean where the promoters require the administration to be carried out in the European time zone. To exemplify, Cayman exempted companies registered as mutual funds under section 4 (3) of the Cayman MFL, the most common fund vehicle in Cayman, or BVI international business companies (private and professional mutual funds) are allowed to be administered from another jurisdiction, therefore even from Gibraltar, which is part of the European Union!

Service providers in Gibraltar are keen to grow the industry, and with its moderate cost base, the domicile is proving to be a very attractive altern......................

Source:
Always at your service! - Fund administration....

Global macro fund Constellation Capital returns 2.18%....

Constellation Capital Ltd has returned 2.18% in October, 10.91% YTD. The strategy is Systematic Global Macro. The fund combines a systematic approach with a discretionary overlay and invests only in liquid instruments to achieve its strategy. It is domiciled in the Caymans, was launched six months ago, and currently manages $22m.....


Source:
Global macro fund Constellation Capital returns 2.18%....

As October hedge fund indices point to devastating month....

Hedge Fund News New York: Late last week the release of the HFRX indices (Global Hedge Fund Index reported -9.26%) confirmed fears that October was even more devastating to hedge fund returns than the previous month. With the other major indices yet to issue finalized numbers the lone bright spot seems as though it may continue to be CTAs. With more than half of the funds reporting October returns Barclay's CTA Index estimate is +3.37% and +10.69% YTD, a ray of light below Barclay's Hedge Fund Index estimate for October (which currently stands at -6.85% and -18.26%YTD with 1023 funds reporting).

US-based Drury Capital offers five trading programs. The firm's Diversified Trend Following Program manages $153m in assets and returned +23.49% in October (+56.91% YTD). President and CEO Bernard Drury recently spoke with Opalesque about CTAs and systematic trading strategies.

Drury credits both the diversified space in which the program trades (across 70 markets with half the portfolio exposure in commodities and the other half in financial instruments) as well as the strategy (systematic trend following) for a track record that extends back to 1997 and boasts annualized returns of +15.54%.

The evolution from sector specialist to systematic trading
As a former grain trader who began his career at the Louis Dreyfus Corporation, Drury spent 20 years accumulating expertise in the fundamentals of the grain markets and has great respect for those traders who are sector specialists. However, while pursuing an executive MBA at the University of Chicago, his studies with Prof. Robin Hogarth in the area of decision making amidst uncertainty had a strong influence on him.

"I entered that U......................

Source:
As October hedge fund indices point to devastating month....

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

London`s most influential people....

Last month, London's very own newspaper, The Evening Standard, published a list of the 1000 most influential people in London in 2008. Among them were 51 financiers.

Here is a selection of the chosen ones, with snippets from the newspaper's commentaries:

- Michael Spencer, 53, ICAP founder and CEO - "far and away the City's kingpin."
- Noam Gottesman, 47, GLG founder - "hugely rich? but publicity shy; no media picture of him exist."
- Clara Furse, 51, LSE CEO - "one of those responsible for taking London to the top in global finance."
- Christopher Hohn, 41, Children's Investment Fund founder - "makes a fortune with his hedge fund? then gives it to a charitable foundation run by his American wife."
- Crispin Odey, 49, Odey Asset Management founder - "thrived on the credit crisis after being one of the first to predict the coming crunch and taking a short position in Bradford & Bingley."
- Adair Turner, 53, FSA chairman - "a self-confessed technocrat."
- Peter Cruddas, 54, CMC founder and chairman - "lives in Monaco and has given ?100m to charity through his own foundation."
- Hector Sants, 52, FSA CEO - "poacher turned gamekeeper."
- Louis Bacon, 52, Moore Capital founder - "can move world markets and is said to be more powerful than George Soros."
- Michael Hintze, 55, CQS, founder and CEO - "A Russian speaker, his CV is daunting: his degrees include physics, pure mathematics and acoustics."
- Martin Hughes, 47, Toscafund owner - "former top banking analyst dubbed The Rottweiler."
- Johannes Huth, 46, KKR, head of Euro......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/48243most_influential_people_in_finance.html

Dutch funds suspend redemptions: Falcinvest and Prisma...

Opalesque received news from Peter Vermeulen, director A.I. at Inveztor.nl, of two separate Dutch hedge fund managers who have had to block redemptions.

Falcinvest suspends redemptions until `pricing has become more realistic`
Dutch fund management company Falcinvest, based in Veenendaal, runs several FoHFs, of which the FalcInvest Specialist Finance Fund, an ABL FoHFs launched in 2006 which returned -1.76% ($) in September. The FalcInvest Global Markets Fund returned -9.02% and the FalcInvest Opportunities Fund returned -11.81%. Redemptions on 5 Falcinvest's funds have been temporarily suspended as of September 30th and "will be permitted again once the financial markets have calmed and sufficient liquidity has returned." (website)

Prisma Plus fund moves redemption gate as of October 31
Following Falcinvest's move, Prisma Plus has had to block redemptions too. According to Peter Vermeulen, the cash position of Prisma Plus, based in Utrecht, is insufficient to fulfil sell orders from investors in the fund.

"Prisma Plus Fonds" specializes in alternative investments, specifically hedge funds and CTAs. Prisma Plus......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/48228Dutch_funds_suspend_redemptions_Falcinvest_and_Prisma.html

With the end of the US election, managers begin to plan for new administration`s effects....

Opalesque New York: For the US financial markets, as the credit crisis unfolded there was, along with the desire for immediate action, a sense that the government was taking temporary steps until the election would decide which administration would be the next to hold office.

As the November 4th election has determined the next US President to be Barack Obama, hedge fund managers gathering at the Walkers "Fighting the Tape" seminar on Thursday (November 6th) will include in their discussions on the outcome of the Presidential Election and the direction of the hedge funds industry.

"I do not look for a President-elect Obama to increase taxes on successful individuals as he has proposed. It is one thing to get elected, another to govern." Professor Jeffrey Rosensweig, Director of the Global Perspectives Program at Goizueta Business School of Emory University told Opalesque. A speaker at the "Fighting the Tape" seminar, Prof. Rosensweig will examine the global economy, market trends, changing demographics and global opportunities for investors and investment managers. "Given the backdrop of looming recession, he will realize this is no time to raise taxes on those who create jobs and/or put capital to productive use, and would face the disincentive of high marginal tax rates which he currently proposes."

Neil Michael, Head of Quantitive Strategies at SPA ETF recently released a global economic outlook ahead of the US election. He cited rising unemployment on the back of sharply slowing industrial production, expectations of economic activity to continue to worsen as economies de-lever, and the sharp deterioration of the OECD leading indicator of US economic activity as reasons to expect that "Since the real economy will continue to slow through next year on the back of the credit crisis and its recent intensification, equities are unlikely to experience a sustained rally this year."

This situation and these expectations for a continued slowdown in the US economy have the potential to change normal expectations of the actions of a Democratic administration. Regarding fears of finance and business executives of a Congress and Presidency controlled by the Democratic Party (as of the writing of this article "Democrats continued to hope for the kind of extensive sweep that would leave them with a 60-vote majority in the Senate, giving them the power to cut off filibusters" Source), Prof. Rosensweig does not believe that such Democratic domination will lead to massive government spending.

"In this unique case, such fears may be unfounded. First, the outgoing Administration was one of the most profligate in U.S. history, to the dismay of many Republican fiscal conservatives. Second, the present time, for the first time since the Great Depression, may call for some direct government spending to stimulate the economy. The job market is fragile at best, and could soon become awful. This is already apparent in the financial services industry." Prof. Rosensweig says.

"Similar to the jobs created by FDR in the 1930s, a President Obama, if he does win, may work with a Democratic Congress for a second stimulus package. The first one, tax rebates, had only limited impact because much of it was sa......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/48225With_the_end_of_the_US.html

Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Investors to look into 2009`s HF winners...........

Latest Hedge Funds News:

Kirsten Bischoff, Opalesque New York: Morgan Stanley Chief Executive Officer John Mack recently told CNBC anchors that he estimated 30% of hedge funds within the industry would close by the end of the credit crisis. $88bln left the industry in September 2008, and Morgan Stanley analyst Huw van Steenis, reported to clients that he expects US hedge funds to lose 15% of their assets and European funds to lose 25% of assets (both through redemptions) by year end, predicting that the industry could shrink to $1.3tln in assets.

But there are investors who view the condensing of the industry as a way to find those managers who have performed well in light of the credit crunch and these investors are beginning to formulate a strategy for investing in 2009.

In fact, a recent report sponsored by Rothstein Kass surveyed ultra-wealthy investors and found 58% of single family office respondents (from a global pool) planned to increase hedge fund allocations in 2009 (coverage).

“As difficult as this environment is I believe that it will ultimately result in huge opportunities for managers and investors alike” Jane Halsey, President of Roundtable Forum told Opalesque. Halsey, who is in the midst of planning a December 2nd Cap Intro event to be held in New York City has run roundtable forums introducing hedge funds and investors since 1999.......................

Source:
Investors to look into 2009`s HF winners...........

Mirabaud remains optimistic about hedge funds

News in Hedge Funds:

Anne-Cathrine Frogg Spadola, senior hedge fund analyst and co-director at Mirabaud & Cie, told Swiss newspaper Le Temps last week that hedge funds, having an innate ability to adapt and innovate, remain an unavoidable investment tool. The situation will be rich in opportunities once the crisis is over. The industry will reassess itself as we are going through a period of cleansing of what the past years’ excesses have produced. Referring to Darwin’s theory of natural selection, she said that we could rest assured that hedge funds will be able to demonstrate their strength, and will navigate in a new market environment with the agility that is known of them.

Pioneer......................

Source:
Mirabaud remains optimistic about hedge funds

LCF Rothschild`s head of FoHFs says that hedge funds....

News-Hedge Funds:

Alexandre Col, head of the funds of hedge funds department at Geneva-based Banque PrivĂ©e Edmond de Rothschild, told Swiss newspaper Le Temps in an interview last week that hedge funds were indeed not immune from the state of the world economy – although they have lost less than the rest which shows their investment principles remain valid.

He believes that distressed (or ‘Chapter 11’) strategies could be attractive in the future although not just yet. The debt market offers the most opportunities, included U.S. mortgage securitization. There is such a market dislocation that it would be good to play it in a ver......................

Source:
LCF Rothschild`s head of FoHFs says that hedge funds....

As investors shift assets across strategies.....

Hedge Funds News New York: In Barrons, Michael Malo, executive vice president in charge of hedge funds at Caisse de depot et placement due Quebec, the firm which places the Quebec Government pension and insurance plans (approx $155.4bln), explained that even in light of the financial market turmoil and hedge fund industry performance, his alternative investment weightings would not be changing (Source).

However, within the hedge fund segment of those investments, Malo did expect to make changes such as diversification by decreasing individual manager investments and increasing fund of funds holdings from 10% to 40%. On top of risk focused asset shifts amongst fund types such as this, the industry is additionally seeing investor shifts across strategies.

The credit space is one such strategy highly anticipated to offer vast opportunity as the credit crunch cycles through the global markets. Tomorrow (Wednesday, November 5th) South Florida Hedge Fund Managers association is hosting a panel discussion to delve into the merits and opportunities of this space, (Opalesque has learned that a few seats do remain, for more information see here).

Opportunities which won’t resurface again for 15-20 years
Boca Raton-based Harch Capital Management is currently focused on the late November launch of its Harch Fund VI (Harch Fund VI -The HCM Pathfinder Fund) which will be a long only senior debt fund of exclusively first lien bank debt of larger cap companies. The Fund will look to those companies that will be best positioned for M&A activity or refinancing when the markets stabilize to call the debt at par (and in some cases higher). These will be companies which “despite malaise in afflicted industries, have been able to produce free cash flow, pay down their senior debt, and reduce investment risk for a portfolio manager.”

The Fund will focus on industries which they expect to outperform despite global economic headwinds - including healthcare, aero and defense, energy and certain industrial and infrastructure sectors. “We believe this is an exceptional opportunity, one that probably won’t resurface again for 15-20 years, to invest in the senior secured bank debt of large, multinational companies that ar......................

Source:
As investors shift assets across strategies.....

Monday, November 3, 2008

Beach Horizon gains 18% in Oct.....

October proved another stellar month for the Beach Horizon Fund with performance up an estimated +18% gain over the period. Already up 22.24% at the end of September this brings the year to date performance to an estimated 44%. The latest results bring the 12-month rolling rate of return to an estimated 49%, and make the fund one of the top performers in the Barclay CTA Index of trading programs with over $50 million under management. The fund is based on the systematic Beach Horizon Program run by London-based trading advisor Beach Horizon LLP.

Regarding performance, Beach Horizon partner Dr Paul Netherwood commented: “It is nice to see the ol......................

Soource:
Beach Horizon gains 18% in Oct.....

Review of hedge fund launches.......

Opalesque London: A roundup of last week’s hedge fund launches, closures, index performance, trends, regulatory, legal and financial events pertaining the alternative investments world.

Last week, we heard of fund launches from Creditor Liquidity Solutions, L&G, Alpstar, LODH Gestion and Mascot Capital.

Jayhawk Capital liquidated its U.S.-focused hedge fund; five funds run by Lancelot blamed Petters as they filed bankruptcy; and Toronto-based Epic shuttered its flagship hedge fund following a 43% loss.

Highbridge denied reports that it was closing several funds and said it was going to build a new European unit. It was later reported that Highbridge had fired 10% of its NYC staff and was planning further cuts in Europe and Asia.

Citadel, which largest hedge fund had lost 35% YTD, denied rumours that it had approached the US government for aid and that the Fed was probing the firm. Citadel eventually announced plans to wind down its $1 billion FoHFs and shift the capital to a seeding business.

On the M&A scene, hedge fund manager Absolute Alpha begun talks with a number of Australian-based global equities managers with a view to purchasing their funds, and RREEF bought a minority stake in the real estate hedge fund Rosen Real Estate Securities.

Wolkswagen’s shares more than doubled on Monday when Porsche (the famed half-car maker, half-hedge fund) announced an unexpected stake increase to 74%. Hedge funds, rushing to cover short positions, were forced to buy stock from a shrinking pool of shares in free float. Many short-sellers faced great losses: funds including Greenlight and Odey A. M. admitted to having big short positions in VW - and Highbridge, Marshall Wace and Citadel denied reports of large losses.

Porsche eventually offered to sell 5% of its VW shares to help hedge funds settle their short exposure. German regulator Bafin launched a probe into the share swings and AIMA said it was planning to ask the EU to clamp down on a German legal loophole.

It was reported that listed funds of hedge funds had by now lost 15.9% YTD, and that traders and investment managers attributed the October stock-market rout to hedge fund sell-offs. Soros said he expected a two-thirds reduction in the number of hedge funds, and the Bank of England warned that hedge funds were ‘facing a credit storm’. On the positive side, S&P issued a report stating that under fire rated hedge funds would likely retool and rise again. And the likes of Steven Cohen, David Einhorn, Paul Singer and Alan Howard were said to be going against the grain by raising more money from investors.

As Dec. 31, the next redemption window for most funds, is looming, hedge funds tried to limit redemptions, using gate provisions or restructuring. Bloomberg.com reported that investors might pull as much 25% of their money from hedge funds by year-end, forcing managers to dump assets and extending the worst market selloff in 50 years.

The WSJ reported that Tikehau, Centaurus and Polygon had limited investors’ withdrawals; Gottex, Wermuth, Auriel and Atlantis had suspended withdrawals until further notice; and RAB, Ramius, BlueBay and Henderson had proposed favourable fees to investors against less redemptions. Deephaven suspended withdrawals from its multi-strategy hedge fund. Investors in Pickens’ energy HF, which had lost 60% YTD, asked to redeem.

The financial crisis was still hitting on big financial institutions: Bear Stearns’ $30bln mortgage portfolio fell 9%; Deutsche Bank might have lost $400m on equity derivatives trades; Citigroup and HSBC were still seeking buyers for a $6bln loan to Dubai’s Investment Corp.; Lazard posted a 3Q loss of $77m; Barclays, looking for capital, might secure loans from the Middle East and two Russian banks; RBS was said to possibly face further write-downs in H2; but Santander’s profits rose by 4.4%. AIG raised new funds from the new Fed facility to repay part of its $123bln Fed loan.

Mitsubishi UFJ was considering raising up to 1 trillion yen ($10.6 billion) to replenish its capital; Nomura might post a loss of around $2bln by year-ending March 31 following the purchase of Lehman's Asian, European and Middle East units.

Meanwhile, Lehman Europe’s unwinding was delayed because of slow co-operation from other banks. Freddie Mac asked a U.S. bankruptcy judge if it could conduct an investigation into $1.2bln it claimed was owed by Lehman; a group of public pension funds, suing to recover money lost on Lehman's fall, added new legal claims against Lehman based on information from former employees; UAE investors in Lehman launched a website to protect rights and investments; Deutsche Postbank was said to be needing at least Eur1bln in fresh capital due to a Lehman exposure. The MFA urged one of Lehman’s administrators to consider options to expedite the bankruptcy resolution process. Carlyle was expected to bid for Lehman’s investment management division.

The US Fed cut interest rates by half a percentage point to 1% and announced that it would lend $30bln each to central banks in Brazil, Mexico, South Korea and Singapore to lend on to local banks. The dollar loans, structured as currency swaps, were intended to help meet intense demand for dollars in these major emerging markets, according to the FT. The move eased the worries of Asian companies and banks and restored confidence in Latin American markets.

Norway, South Korea, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan subsequently cut interest rates too. Iceland lifted its rates from 12% to 18%. The European Central Bank, the U.K. and Japan are expected to follow suit this week.

The Group of Seven expressed concern the soaring Japanese yen was posing a threat to the financial and economic stability as recession worries spread worldwide.

In the U.S., stock futures fell, indicating the market may extend the worst monthly plunge in 70 years. Mid-size U.S. banks lined up for government cash. The Treasury predicted huge gover......................

Source:
Review of hedge fund launches.......

Friday, October 31, 2008

Disaster recovery plan: how to avoid business

From Geneva-based Hedge Fund Appraisal’s October Hedge Fund Due Diligence Bulletin: Investors in hedge funds are doubly suffering this year. They harshly realized that losses are not only coming from wrong investment bets but can also emerge from operational risks. In most cases, investors were unaware of their exposure to these types of “hidden” risks. Recent events have brought to light the risk linked to the fund’s relationship with their counterparty. If we look at the deep discount at which trade some closed-ended funds of hedge funds,......................

Source:
Disaster recovery plan: how to avoid business...

Hedge Funds News:
  1. Ron Pollack, who is re-launching short-biased..
  2. Hedge funds handle systemic risk.....

Hedge funds handle systemic risk.....

Opalesque London: Alexander Ineichen, managing director at UBS’ Alternative Investment Solutions (Switzerland), author of ‘Absolute Returns: The Risk and Opportunities of Hedge Fund Investing’, ‘Asymmetric Returns: The Future of Active Asset Management’ (Wiley Finance) and of UBS ‘In search of Alpha’ publications, gave a talk on risk management at the Hedge 2008 conference in London last week.

Risk management has been in the spotlight lately as some ponder on its true efficiency whereas others assert it has been successful – especially in the hedge funds arena. But all, managers, regulators and institutions alike, agree it deserves a fresh look. Deloitte & Touche recently issued a white paper (“Risk Management in the Age of Structured Products”) that started: “We believe it is time to take a fresh look at the risk management capabilities of financial institutions and the processes in place to support financial risk management”. Risk management should be viewed “not as a drag on strategy, but as an integral part of a strategic discussion where decision makers look at risk and return collectively.” (securitiesindustry.com)

Risk is really about failure and non-survival
“The good news is that hedge funds have done better than most other investments,” Ineichen started.

Whereas the standard definition of risk involves volatility and tracking of risk, it has become apparent that it should now include ‘non-survival’. Drawing from the biological failures analogy, Ineichen concluded that it was really failure and non-survival that mattered: ‘The Iron Law of Failure appears to extend from the world of biology into human activities, into social and economic organizations. The precise mathematical relationship which describes the link between the frequency and size of the extinction of companies, for example, is virtually i......................

Source:
Hedge funds handle systemic risk.....


News in Hedge Fund:

Disaster recovery plan: how to avoid business..
Ron Pollack, who is re-launching short-biased..

Forum Asset Management fund....

Opalesque has learned that New York-based firm Forum Asset Management, which oversees four emerging markets funds has posted September returns of:

Forum Absolute Return Fund +9.50% (+23.24% YTD)
Forum Global Opportunities Fund +2.54% (+25.73 YTD)
Forum Asset Based Investment Fund +0.87% (+9.52% YTD)
Forum Hard Assets Fund +0.97% (+10.84%)

The firm’s investment philosophy believes the best opportunities often lie in niches where there are inherent inefficiencies to exploit and places a high value on returns which are uncorrelated to the traditional markets.

Top performing Absolute Return Fund
The Absolute Return Fund, which led performance for September utilizes a long/short credit strategy which is focused on the global emerging markets. The Fund, which was launched in 1999 has invested opportunistically through such global emerging market events such as the Russian Crisis, Ecuador Defaults, Argentina Defaults, and Brazil Near Defaults (among......................

Source:
Forum Asset Management fund....


News in Hedge Funds:

  1. Hedge funds handle systemic risk much better...
  2. Disaster recovery plan: how to avoid business...

Thursday, October 30, 2008

Troubled Asset `Belief` Program

This article was authored by Shahriar Shahida, CIO at Constellation Capital Management LLC, New York:

During the past three weeks since Congress passed TARP, the levered loan and high yield indices have fallen over 7%; the AAA tranche of the 2007 sub prime mortgage indices are down over 19%; and the SP 500 index is down over 22%.

The question that begs to be asked is why? Wasn’t TARP supposed to provide a huge boost to confidence and help stabilize all of these markets? If TARP was achieving its objectives, would investors across asset classes and the globe continue their indiscriminate selling?

Clearly, the markets do not believe that the largest banks and investment banks will use any of $250 billion newly infused TARP capital to extend new loans anytime soon.

Frankly, who can blame the bankers? Why would anyone in h......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/48032Troubled_Asset_Program.html

Prof. Richard Werner: Crisis started with speculative credit creation.....

Opalesque London: Professor Richard Werner is director of the Centre for Banking, Finance and Sustainable Development at the University of Southampton (UK), CEO at Southampton-based Providence Asset Management, and author of ‘New Paradigm in Macro-economics’ (2005, Palgrave MacMillan). He gave his version of the current crisis at the Hedge 2008 conference in London last week.

The current financial crisis is not new
Even though significant breakdowns in inter-bank market are rare and the extent of the problem is great, the fundamental cause and the solutions are not new. It can be traced back 5000 years. However “this crisis is different,” said Prof. Werner.

His opinion is mirrored by others:
“There’s never been anything this pervasive, this challenging to the structure,” former Bear Stearns chair Ace Greenberg had told MoneyNews.com. The huge number of securitized mortgages distinguished the current financial crisis from its predecessors. Mortgage-backed securities created a credit problem that spread nationwide before infecting Europe and Asia.

Gerry Kramer wrote in NaplesNews.com that this crisis was different because, first, the last 25 years had been a period of vast financial innovation in world capital markets; second, gross interbank financial transactions and contracts in the US alone had totalled trillions of dollars; third, the financial world had also become inextricably intertwined; and fourth, the US economy had become addicted to credit.

Indeed, we now have complex financial products. The achievements of the free financial markets until AD 2007 include sub-prime mortgages, securitisation and ABS, credit derivatives, SIVs, SPCs. We also have highly-rated financial products that combine the above and highly-leveraged hedge fund strategies that combine the above. This time, the game of financial engineering may be over.

The specialness of banks
Money is actually extremely difficult to define, said Prof. Werner. But it can be done so when considering where the supply comes from – this is where bank play a special role. Banks are a monopoly power when compared to other financial institutions; they are not just mere financial intermediaries.

Schumpeter (1912) said that banks were the central settlement system of the economy, as they operated “a huge system of credits and debits, of claims and debts, by which capitalist society carries on its daily business of production and consumption.” Thus it is “more useful to start from the credit transactions and look upon capitalist finance as a clearing system that cancels claims and debts and carries forward the differences – so that money payments come in only as a special case without any fundamental importance.” In other words, credit is the key.

Banks act as accountants of the economy and have the ability to individually create credit – out of nothing. “This is how MOST of our money is created – out of nothing,” Prof. Werner added.

Good and bad credit creation
The credit market is rationed by banks and supply-determined. “There will always be demand for credit,” he said. As credit is created, its quantity is the key budget constraint on activity and thus determines growth, asset prices and should be used for policy.

Prof. Werner proposed that in the standard equation of exchange (money supply = nom. GDP), ‘money’ should be replaced by ‘credit’ and that we should distinguish between credit used for real economy transactions and credit used for financial transactions. Unproductive credit creation should be avoided and productive credit creation should be the focus, as credit flows are the source of boom and bust cycles.

The types of speculative credit creation include margin loans, loans to non-bank financial institutions, credit for real estate speculation, loans to SIVs, to hedge funds, to PE funds, for M&A and direct financial investments by banks.

Bubbles and crisis
A bubble economy arises when the proportion of financial credit creation rises, which creates capital gains from speculation and bolsters balance sheets. This is when we have the myth of the continually rising asset price.

Banking crisis and debt deflation arise when the creation of speculative credit suddenly drops, which is usually triggered by central banks. This is when the vicious cycle starts. Past banking crisis due to speculative credit creation occurred in the US (1920), Scandinavia (1980s), Japan (1980s), Asia (1990s). And this side of the century, we saw property bubbles in the UK, the US, Ireland and Spain.

What’s new with the current crisis?
Thanks to securitisation and credit derivatives, banks acquired a greater appetite for speculative credit creation, for greater risk (which was largely underestimated) and for direct financial speculation. So “the sheer scale is new,” he said.

Also, the US scrapped the Glass Steagall Act of 1933 which meant banking and securities speculation could once again mixed together. Basel II also gave an incentive for banks to engage in direct financial speculation.

Responsible parties: central banks
The creation of bubbles can be prevented by monitoring and targeting speculative credit creation – which is something that central banks used to do. But after t......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/48028Richard_Werner_Crisis_started_with_speculative.html


As deleveraging continues to wreak havoc in equities....

Opalesque New York: The weeks leading up to the US Presidential election have not seen a traditional “October Surprise”, perhaps because the harsh realities of the snowballing credit crisis kept its grip on the nation’s attention. Merrill Lynch’s “Hedge Fund Monitor” research piece summed up October’s vicious market cycle attributing much of the rout to hedge funds and other investors being forced to sell stock due to the “self perpetuating margin call” of deleveraging and investor redemptions.

Penso Capital’s Global Crisis Strategy, which was launched in February 2008, saw its highest fund performance in the month of September (according to hedge fund databases) as it captured the profits on the bearish view it took on Europe (see previous Opalesque story here). But as that risk/reward profile has changed, the New York-based team is now looking to the declines and volatility in equities which has presented new targets of opportunity.

“Option-like equities happen very rarely, when a stock price gets to a point where it trades like an option.” Principal Steve Gross explained to Opalesque.

Gross cites Morgan Stanley as an example of such pricing. The firm has seen price swings from $67......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/48019As_deleveraging_continues_to_wreak_havoc_in.html


Friday, October 24, 2008

Castlestone Management`s UCITS Commodity Funds...

Castlestone Management announced that Friends Provident International has added the Aliquot Commodity (UCITS) Fund and the Aliquot Agriculture (UCITS) Fund to its fund range this month, following strong demand from investors for access to this market.

“We are delighted to be further strengthening our relationship with Friends Provident International,” explains Angus Murray, founder and joint chief executive of Castlestone Management. “We are now able to offer investors direct exposure to commodities, where previously the only exposure available was limited to through listed equities.” …

The Aliquot Commodity (UCITS) Fund and The Aliquot Agriculture (UCITS) Fund
Many commodity funds invest only in the stocks of companies, such as mining operations, farming consortiums or oil corporations. This means they are highly correlated with equity indexes and are vulnerable to the same corporate risk, while offering limited exposure to the price moves within traded commodities. The Aliquot Commodity (UCITS) Fund and The Aliquot Agriculture (UCITS) Fund, however, offer direct exposure to commodity prices, with no corporate equity exposure in the portfolio.

Commodities, why now?
The sharp drop in commodity prices means many commodities, for example platinum, aluminium and wheat......................

Source:
Castlestone Management`s UCITS Commodity Funds...

Africa not totally immune from tumultuous market....

While the Eurekahedge Emerging Markets Hedge Fund Index went down 7.13% in September and -16.13% YTD, some African funds are actually not doing too badly.

2 out of Scipion`s 3 funds are up YTD
Scipion Alpha Seeker Fund was down 9.37% in September and up 21.61% YTD. To obtain absolute returns, and to outperform the benchmark (MSCI EM Index), Scipion Alpha Seeker Fund is an actively managed portfolio of shares covering the African continent, excluding South Africa and Egypt as those markets are more correlated to other traditional emerging markets than the rest of the continent.

The manager commented; “the prices that we are now seeing have not been seen since 2006, and clearly there are now good opportunities to enter at basement price level. Some stocks, particularly in the banking sector however, do have more room to fall, and consequently we are reviewing our sector allocation, as well as our country allocation where we feel the currency is highly vulnerable to foreign exchange pressure and where it cannot be efficiently hedged.”

Scipion Commodity Trade Finance Fund was up 0.23% in September, 5.14% YTD. The fund finances the cross border trade of goods and services, both to and from Africa. The manager said that September had seen a degree of deleveraging of the fund as the end of the coffee season was coming, with end buyers repaying stocks financed by the fund. Draw-downs to finance stock in Africa for the new season will only materialise towards the (fast approaching) end of the year.

Scipion African Opportunities Fund SPC is a Cayman domiciled Segregated Portfolio Company offering different share classes all focusing on Africa. The fund was down 15.66% in September, -29.53% YTD. Scipion Capital has offices in Londo......................

Source:
Africa not totally immune from tumultuous market....

The benefits of permanent capital: Scalae Management up 30 % ....

Opalesque New York: New York-based Scalae Management, which was founded by Joseph Filicetti in July 2002, runs the CL Diversified Fund which trades a portfolio of futures across 65 markets. Filicetti recently spoke with Opalesque about the benefits the CL Diversified Fund has had, through the backing of its seeding partner, Trinidad-based Colonial Life Insurance Company.

History
Colonial Life Insurance, which is a multi-billion dollar corporation with a business driven through insurance, financial services, beverages and petrochemicals, first reached out to Filicetti and Scalae when they were looking to open a US based capital markets group and launch a hedge fund. With $20m in seed capital from Colonial Life, Filicetti launched the CL Diversified fund, and his firm Scalae became the trading advisor to that fund.

The CL Fund has since grown to $30m and has been beneficial to both Colonial Life and Scalae. On CL’s part they have seen a return on their investment and as the fund grows, will see additional return streams as a fund partner. For Scalae, it has meant an infrastructure which most $30m funds could not afford so early in their existence, including a team of 4 people, offices in midtown Manhattan and “a relationship which gives us a great deal of staying power,” Filicetti said.

Strategy
Permanent capital was very important during the early evolution of the CL Diversified trade strategy because it allowed the team to adapt methodologies to react to changing markets. The portfolio invests across 65 markets and is divided into four sectors (fixed income, foreign exchange, equities, and commodities) all of which receive equal weighting and are re-balanced every month to maintain those weightings.

“Because we view the world probabilistically, and don’t know where any returns will ......................

source:
The benefits of permanent capital: Scalae Management up 30 % ....


Roubini: we are paying the consequences....

Bear Roubini
Economist and founder of rgemonitor.com Nouriel Roubini showed no mercy on his audience: “The tsunami of defaults is only just starting,” he said. Hundreds of hedge funds will go bust. We are reaching a point when systemic danger becomes larger rather than smaller – we are at panic point, under the falling knife. “I would not be surprised if some Western stock markets were to close for a few days".

There will be severe recession in the U.S. and in Europe and this will be the worst in decades. $600bln minimum would be needed to save credit markets. Financial markets are becoming completely “dysfunctional”.

To illustrate the systemic collapse, even a small country such as Iceland (who borrowed 12 times its GDP’s worth) can have significant effect on the world economy. Emerging economies are on the tipping point too.

Everyone has been in favour of financial innovation which has lead to more complexity in the markets and more systemic risk; now we are paying the consequences.

“The only light at the end of the tunnel is that it will come after the financial train wreck. That’s my only assessment,” he said. Roubini also warned about future geopolitical consequences and the beginning of the decline of the American empire… he did work for the White House Council of Economic Advisors and for the U.S. Treasury Department after all.

Fair Value: misunderstood concept
Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Bernanke has recently remarked on fair value, saying that we “need to make a distinction between fire-sale prices and hold-to-maturity prices.”

There have been various amendments and clarifications on fair value accounting from the U.S. and the U.K. accounting bodies, as well as confusions within the financial industry and misunderstandings from the press. Max Ziff of London’s Holihan Lokey, an investment banking services firm, sought to clarify the matter and put forward the following conclusions:

- Illiquid assets are both a threat and an opportunity.
- Either way, appropriate valuing procedures are critical.
- The trends towards institutional investments will only reinforce this.
- A return to cost accounting is not a solution for banks or investment funds.
- FAS 157-3 is a constructive step forward but remains a stop gap.
- For hedge funds, the debate is not just about accounting but also about how the hedge fund structure adjusts going forward.
- When it comes to disclosure, think “full” and then some.
- Use volatility as the best indicator and when mark-to-m......................


Source:
Roubini: we are paying the consequences....

Thursday, October 23, 2008

Experienced Investor Fund - Gibraltar’s....

This is the second of six Gibraltar focussed articles by Rolf Majcen, Managing Director, FTC Capital GmbH, Austria, www.ftc.at (first article: Source).

Experienced Investor Funds (EIFs) are Gibraltar’s premier vehicle for alternative investments. Legal basis are the Financial Services (Experienced Investor Funds) Regulations 2005. The strength of the EIF-regime is that it is internationally competitive while maintaining the level of regulation. It offers a fast-track procedure that enables funds to be swiftly and easily set up which brings Gibraltar into line with jurisdictions such as the Cayman Islands or the BVI.

Definition of an “experienced investor”
EIFs are open to investors who are considered to be “experienced”; for instance, a person meets the requirement that is a professional asset manager or a person with net assets in excess of Euro 1 Mio. The term “experienced investor” is also fulfilled if a participant invests a minimum of Euro 100.000, which makes it easier to subscribe shares of an EIF.

Flexibility
There are no investment or borrowing restrictions imposed on an EIF, nor is there any limitation on the number of investors such a fund may have. There is no obligation for an EIF to publish the NAV and it does not have to meet any requirements in respect of minimum net assets. There is no need to have an authorised “fund-promoter”.

EIFs are primarily established as open-ended or closed-ended investment companies; Unit Trusts, partnerships or funds in contractual form as well as Protected Cell Companies (PCC) are also possible. The private company has got an interesting special feature, even when compared to other international centres, because it does not limit the number of its members (50 according to Gibraltarian law) for a company that is an EIF and also allows the public distribution of shares to a certain degree.

EIFs are capable of being established in Gibraltar within a matter of days
The regulatory regime has placed the burden of compliance, due diligence and o......................


Source:
Experienced Investor Fund - Gibraltar’s....

Oak Hill Advisors appoints former Lehman team of Goran V Puljic.....

Oak Hill Advisors, L.P. announced today that Goran V. Puljic, T.K. Narayan and Scott W. Snell have joined the firm's structured products group to focus on investment opportunities in the credit markets. The team joined Oak Hill Advisors from Lehman Brothers Inc., where they managed approximately $2 billion in structured credit assets, through both third party fund vehicles and proprietary capital within Lehman Brothers Private Equity. Their appointment enhances the investment capabilities of Oak Hill Advisors' structured products group that is currently led by Jason Serrano, who joined earlier this year from The Blackstone Group. Goran Puljic and Jason Serrano will co-lead this effort...

In his role at Oak Hill Advisors as Managing Director and Co-Head of the Structured Products Group, Mr. Puljic brings valuable experience with regards to......................

Source:
Oak Hill Advisors appoints former Lehman team of Goran V Puljic.....

$7bln NIR Group aims for stronger capital base through fund restructuring...

Opalesque New York: Opalesque had the opportunity to speak with Corey Ribotsky, Managing Member and Head Portfolio Manager at NIR Group about both the launch of the firm's Haverstock Fund as well as give the team the chance to address the media reports of this week which have inaccurately described investor redemptions at the firm.

Two themes which thread through almost every news story we see about the hedge fund industry are "cash is king" and "opportunity abounds". The $7bln NIR Group is one example of the way funds have had to react during the current market turmoil and address both the liquidity needs which are resenting opportunity at the investment end, but decreasing assets at the investor end.

Restructuring to address liquidity needs of investors
NIR Group told Opalesque that reports of redemptions from the AJW Family of Funds have been mischaracterized.

The Funds, which have returned +8% YTD are asset based lending strategies and the management team, looking to secure committed capital has made the decision to balance an increased lockup period (3 years or quarterly with 90 days notice) with a decrease in fees (from 2%/20% to 1%/15%).

NIR confirmed that there have been a small number of redemptions by investors seeking to meet their own liquidity concerns.

NIR also confirmed that AJW's decade old redemption schedule has been altered to reflect the new liquidity constraints of the current market environment. It has always been the firm's policy to limit each allocation in size to a very small ......................

Source:
$7bln NIR Group aims for stronger capital base through fund restructuring...

Investors, regulators support hedge funds....

nvestors: we still believe in hedge funds
Bob Discolo, of AIG Global Investments, said two third of AIG's selection is manager-driven, one third strategies. A lot of hedge funds will go out of business, but there are a lot of brilliant managers and that is the most important part about hedge funds.

Michel Malo, of Qu?bec's Caisse de D?p?t et Placement said he also concentrates a lot more on managers. The pension fund is more discerning now and it will even look at managers who had had draw-downs, so long as those draw-downs are within what is expected. It has more than 30% of assets in alternatives. Hedge funds are not responsible for what is happening, he said.

Pranay Gupta, of Pearl Group, said that the best part of a portfolio is still alternatives. Hedge funds who have had big draw-downs will have trouble marketing themselves going forwards, and emphasis on strategy selection may increase.

Graham Thouret, of Diversified Global A.M., said he still thought that hedge funds were one of the best diversification in asset classes. "We are focused on accessing or even originate new strategies that are uncorrelated, like re-insurance." Risk adjusted returns have gone down, as hedge funds have grown more mature.

Gloom, Boom and Doom: the Fed has no intention of pursuing a tight-money policy
The charismatic, Swiss-German author of 'Tomorrow's Gold' and other books, and founder of The Gloom, Boom and Doom report, Dr Marc Faber, talked at length about the crisis and put forward the following conclusions:

- It is quite likely that the current synchronised global economic boom and universal, all the encompassing asset bubble, will lead to a colossal bust.
- Central bankers have become hostage to inflated asset markets. Tight money will be difficult to implement.
- Expansionary Monetary (which caused the credit crisis in the first place) are the wrong medicine to solve the current problems.
- However, the market participants may from time to time bring about tight monetary conditions by curtailing the availability of credit.
- As L.von Mises observed: "the dearth of credit which marks the crisis is caused not by a contraction but by the abstention of further credit expansion."
- Rolling inflation, stagflation, deflation may succeed each other in rapid sequences. In real terms, equities would not seem to be attractive.
- Secular uptrend in commodity prices is still intact. Sharp corrections should be expected.
- Along with rising commodity prices, inflation and interest rates are likely to increase over the next few years.
- Resource nationalism and resource-driven geopolitics will increase international tensions further.

Finding alpha in emerging markets: not the best time
Adrian Mowat, of JP Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) said that those emerging economies which had build reserves and gone through economic reforms during the good years would be the most resilient, like China, which is predicted to have a 30% deficit, as well as Mexico and Taiwan, which governments have articulated counter-cyclical policies. Brazil is attractive, but in the long run. He is bearish on Russia, India and Korea. He expects the Baltic States and Central Europe might suffer from a domino effect, Russia to transfer more of its economic power to the Kremlin, and to do some "colonisation" through forex. The current period does not offer many alpha opportunities, as equity prices (and everything else) are driven down but the next stage will offer more opportunities. "We shall see more back-to-basics and back-home in the world," he said.

Larry Brainard, chief economist at Trusted Sources Research, believes that China's growth will hold but profit will not. Brazil's Central Bank is quite effective and it......................

Source:
Investors, regulators support hedge funds....

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

BlackRock releases 3Q results with 14% drop in 3Q profits....

Opalesque New York: "These are the best of times and worst of times" was how a somber, but optimistic Laurence Fink, Chairman and Chief Executive of BlackRock started the third quarter earnings call with investors. Posting a -14.7% drop in third quarter profits Fink told investors that the losses were felt across all asset classes.

According to Reuters analysts had expected earnings of $1.88 per share as BlackRock's final quarter numbers fell to $1.62 per share.

$66m loss in seed and co-investments in hedge funds
Third quarter 2008 non-operating expense, net of non-controlling interests, was $119 million compared to non-operating income, net of non-controlling interests of $47 million in third quarter 2007. The $119 million non-operating expense, net of non-controlling interests, includes losses of $66 million from seed and co-investments in hedge funds/funds of hedge funds (including the impact of distressed credit products), $13 million from real estate products and $39 million related to assets associated with certain deferred compensation plans....

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47866Altesque_Events_presents_2008_Hedge_Fund.html

CMA Global Hedge introduces redemption facility and.....

CMA Advisors, a Zurich-based fund of hedge funds business, floated its fund of hedge funds on the London Stock Exchange in the summer 2006 to create a separate investment company called CMA Global Hedge. In July 2006, CMA Global Hedge PCC said it had raised $402 million from its IPO. This was the second-biggest stock market flotation by a financial services company in the UK so far that year after Standard Life (then Goldman Sachs immediately followed suite and raised $507m for a new vehicle called Goldman Sachs Dynamic Opportunities.)

We heard a couple of months ago that CMA Global Hedge had lost almost 7% of its value in the first half of 2008, "nearly three times the 2.5% average loss across the fund of hedge funds sector" (efinancialnews.com). In September, the fund's USD share class lost 9.43% (est.), it has further lost 8.92% (est.) so far in October and is now down 23.30% (e......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47845CMA_Global_Hedge_introduces_redemption_facility_and.html

New firm Four Elements Capital moves to Singapore....

Lionel Semonin, previously Managing Director for BNP Paribas's global Commodity Investor Group, has decided to launch Four Elements Capital Management Pte Ltd and is being joined by Bertrand Egsbaek, Leila Kuhlenthal, Marion LeFevre and Lei Shen.

The team, previously based in London, are relocating to Singapore and are looking to meet with investors to discuss their first fund.

The Four Elements team plans for the Earth Element Fund to be a commodity strategy based on both fundamental and quantitative analysis. This investment process has been developed using the teams experience and will be syste......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47843New_firm_Four_Elements_Capital_moves_to.html

Roundtable: Nordic Hedge Fund Leaders say hedge funds a stabilizing force, confident on further growth but warn over "race to ever shorter liquidity..

Stockholm, October 21st 2008 -- Opalesque, the world's largest subscription-based publisher covering the alternative investment industry, has just launched the ninth issue of its groundbreaking Roundtable Series, the Opalesque Nordic Roundtable (download here: http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=static&and=RoundtableNORDIC).



Some of the Nordic hedge funds and CTAs have track records that go back to 1991. There are more than 200 hedge funds registered or run out of the Nordic region, adopted early by Nordic institutions and pension funds.



The Opalesque Nordic Roundtable was sponsored by DnB NOR Asset Management and took place on September 22nd 2008 in their Stockholm office. For this Roundtable, Opalesque united the following Nordic Alternatives Leaders:





l Martin Estlander, CEO, Estlander & Rönnlund

l Kent Janer, Partner, Portfolio Manager, Brummer & Partners AB

l Svante Bergstrom, Managing Director, Fund Manager, Brummer & Partners AB

l Peter C. Warren, CIO, WarrenWicklund Asset Management

l Lars Lovgren, Head of Hedge Funds, DnB NOR Asset Management

l Dr. Patrik Säfvenblad, Head of Hedge Fund Research, DnB NOR Asset Management

l Magnus Nilsson, Partner, Ă–hman Group

l Dennis Johansson, Partner, RAM Rational Asset Management





The purpose of the Opalesque Roundtable Series is to provide a catalogue of intelligence on the world's most important hedge fund centres and introduce you to some relevant local players of each jurisdiction. New York, London, Geneva, Singapore, Hong Kong, Tokyo, Sydney, and Auckland are already covered (see the Roundtable archive on the Opalesque website). In this Roundtable Script, you will learn:





l A bit of history: How have the Nordic markets have achieved this degree of sophistication in financial markets, trading and hedge funds?

l How is the Nordic hedge fund community standing up against their international peers in both in absolute and risk-adjusted returns?

l How do Nordic institutions view hedge funds?

l How does regulation vary from country to country?

l What are the advantages of running a hedge fund from the Nordic region?

l What is "ATM Risk"?

l An in-depth discussion on liquidity: Why are large investors concerned on hedge funds' race to ever shorter liquidity terms?

l Why hedge funds have been a stabilizing force in the current market turmoil

l How will the region further evolve? What funds and strategies are being developed?





The Opalesque Nordic Roundtable can be downloaded here:

http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=static&and=RoundtableNORDIC

All other previously published Opalesque Roundtable Scripts can be accessed here:

http://www.opalesque.com/index.php?act=archiveRT



About Opalesque:



In 2003, with the publication of its daily Alternative Market Briefing, Opalesque successfully launched an information revolution in the hedge fund media space: "Opalesque changed the world by bringing transparency where there was opacity and by delivering an accurate professional reporting service." - Nigel Blanchard, Culross. This hybrid financial news service, which combines proprietary industry news stories and filtered third party reports, has been credited by many industry insiders with delivering precise, accurate, and vital information to a notoriously guarded audience.



Each week, Opalesque publications are read by more than 500,000 industry professionals in over 100 countries. Opalesque is the only daily hedge fund publisher which is actually read by the elite managers themselves (http://www.opalesque.com/op_testimonials.html).



About Opalesque Publications:



Alternative Market Briefing is a daily newsletter on the global hedge fund industry, highly praised for its completeness and timely delivery of the most important daily news for professionals dealing with hedge funds. Alternative Market Briefing offers both a quick overview and in-depth coverage. Subscribers can also access the industry’s largest news archive (29,000+ articles) on hedge funds and related topics.



A SQUARE is the first web publication, globally, that is dedicated exclusively to alternative investments. A SQUARE's weekly selections feature unique investment opportunities that bear virtually no correlation to the main stream hedge fund strategies and/or distinguish themselves by virtue of their "alternative" motive – for instance, social or behavioral strategies or those focused on natural resources or sustainable/environment-related investing.



With its "research that reveals" approach, fast facts and investment oriented analysis, A SQUARE offers diversification and complementary ideas for private, high net-worth and institutional investors, pension funds and endowments, portfolio and hedge fund managers.



Technical Research Briefing delivers a global perspective/overview on all major markets, including equity indices, fixed Income, currencies, and commodities. Opalesque Technical Research is unique compared to most available research which is fundamental in nature and not technically (chart) oriented.



Sovereign Wealth Funds Briefing offers a quick and complete overview on the actions and issues relating to Sovereign Wealth Funds, who rank now amongst the most important and observed participants in the international capital markets.

Commodities Briefing is a free, daily publication covering the global commodities markets. The Opalesque Commodities Briefings follow the popular Opalesque “Briefing” format and offer a quick and complete oversight on commodities and commodity-related news and research in 26 detailed categories.



The daily Real Estate Briefings offer a quick and complete oversight on real estate, important news related to that sector as well as commentaries and research in 28 detailed categories. The service can be subscribed as daily email newsletter or by RSS feed.



The Opalesque Roundtable Series unites some of the leading hedge fund managers and their investors from specific global hedge fund centers, sharing unique insights on the specific idiosyncrasies and
developments as well as issues and advantages of their jurisdiction.

Through the series, hedge fund investors looking for new talent, a hedge fund interested in diversifying its investor base, or service providers looking for new clients will all get to know some of the leaders in each hedge fund center and will find invaluable information and intelligence without any travel involved.


For more information, please go to http://www.opalesque.com

Tuesday, October 21, 2008

Altesque Events presents 2008 Hedge Fund Insider`s Update....

When: Monday, November 10, 2008, from 7.45 am (whole-day event)
Where: The Crowne Plaza Times Square, 1605 Broadway at 49th Street, New York City.

Altesque Events, LLC, formerly Opalesque Global Services, LLC, would like to extend an invitation to you to sign up and attend its 2008 Hedge Fund Insiders� Update.

This is the one conference of the year designed to up......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47839Altesque_Events_presents_2008_Hedge_Fund.html

Opalesque Sovereign Wealth Funds Briefing....

Opalesque, the world's largest subscription-based publisher covering the alternative investment industry, has just launched its seventh publication, the Opalesque Sovereign Wealth Funds Briefing. This new, daily publication in the popular Opalesque �Briefing� format offers a quick and complete overview on the actions and issues relating to Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs). SWFs now rank amongst the most important and most observed participants in the international capital markets.

The Opalesque Sovereign Wealth Funds Briefing service can be subscribed as daily email newsletter or by RSS feed at ww.opalesque.com/SWF_Briefing.

Can you really afford to miss stories like these?

  • The Premier League of Sovereign Wealth Funds
  • Abu Dhabi�s wealth fund still eyeing Europe, US
  • Chinese SWFs may wave investment plans
  • China wealth fund to raise stake in Blackstone to 12.5% from 9.9%
  • Cooler winds blow from Beijing
  • SWFs have their role in crisis
  • SWFs seek safety..
Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47834Opalesque_Sovereign_Wealth_Funds_Briefing_New.html

Porcupine Global Macro Plus Fund.....

Opalesque has learned that Porcupine Global Macro Plus Fund has returned +2.43% for the month of September (16.31% YTD). According to communications with investors, the fund will continue to hold large cash positions and move forward with caution during the current market uncertainties. Additionally the Fund, which previously offered quarterly liquidity will begin in November to offer monthly liquidity (with 20 days notice).

The investment objective of the Fund is to generate positive absolute returns while managing down......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47815Porcupine_Global_Macro_Plus_Fund_at.html

Porcupine Global Macro Plus Fund at +2.43% in September...

Opalesque has learned that Porcupine Global Macro Plus Fund has returned +2.43% for the month of September (16.31% YTD). According to communications with investors, the fund will continue to hold large cash positions and move forward with caution during the current market uncertainties. Additionally the Fund, which previously offered quarterly liquidity will begin in November to offer monthly liquidity (with 20 days notice).

The investment objective of the Fund is to generate positive absolute returns while managing down......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47815Porcupine_Global_Macro_Plus_Fund_at.html

Markov Processes’ reverse engineering of hedge fund portfolios with.....

Opalesque New York: Opalesque recently had the chance to speak with Michael Markov, CEO and Director of Research at the U.S. offices of Markov Processes International (MPI) about the firm�s reverse engineering approach to hedge fund analysis as well as their thoughts on hedge fund replication strategies and some of the new ways they are using their data capabilities to increase transparency to clients within the industry.

One of the tests which elite US Navy SEALs must take to be considered expert marksmen requires them to disassemble and reassemble a variety of weapons. In addition to the physical ability to take apart and put together the tools of their profession, they must name each part as they go, while an instructor times them and asks them various probing questions about each part of the weapon and about its function as a whole.

It is perhaps an apt comparison to the requirements of the team at MPI (a team that includes a former lead software engineer with a specialty in robotics and technical cybernetics who designed robots for Russian military and space programs) which disassemble and reassemble portfolios as part of their analysis of a fund�s return streams. In fact, the team is capable of reverse engineering a portfolio to provide in-depth analysis of a fund even when given less than a year of returns to work with and only the most basic information on a fund�s focus of investing.

MPI launched in 1992 with a focus on mutual funds and institutional products. Using the ideas that Nobel Laureate William Sharpe (creator of Sharpe ratio) published, Markov and Mik Kvitchko, MPI Chairman and Chief Technology Officer, wrote the first commercial application to analyze mutual fund products. The program itself received an endorsement from Sharpe . �It is harder to apply the same methodology to hedge funds because they have fewer restrictions, trade frequently, have derivatives, can turn their portfolio on a whim, and do various things which traditional managers cannot do,� Markov explained. However, the collapse of Long Term Capital in 1998 proved to be too intriguing a case study for the team and soon MPI set their sights on the hedge fund industry.

�The key to the analysis is dynamic modeling,� explains Markov. �Most analysis is static and the problem with that is betas are changing all of the time�There are techniques in other sciences, especially in the defense industry where they track moving targets. They are very delicate methodologies.�

Using an international team of mathematicians MPI was able to write a program which could regress a hedge fund from performance backwards to reveal the portfolio�s possible investments.

With only 8 or 9 months of performance numbers they reverse engineered the Long Term Capital portfolio and released a white paper detailing the fund�s collapse. The program itself received several recommendations for the firm�s first hedge fund clients.

More recently, Markov has used the......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47811Markov_reverse_engineering_of_hedge.html

Quant fund Amplitude returns 14.48% in September....

Opalesque London: Karsten Schroeder, Amplitude Capital�s PM and CEO, talked to Opalesque about the Amplitude strategy and the need for investors to diversify, and include quants in their portfolios � especially as they seem to be doing well in times of crisis.

Quants faring well
The Amplitude strategy returned 14.48% in September and 31.26% YTD and has compounded 28.28% p.a. since its June 2005 inception.

These results mirror the success of many other quant funds: Tudor Investment Corp�s Tensor Tudor was up 21.3% and Jim Simon's flagship Medallion fund up 49% through the end of September, Wealth Bulletin reported. SGAM AI�s quant fund, the Global Volatility Fund, was up 6.17% YTD to August and AM Investment Partners� volatility fund went up 6% in just the month of September - when the S&P500 and Nasdaq Composite Index sunk 5.4% and 7.8%, respectively, reported WSJ. Opalesque yesterday reported on Welton�s CTA fund, the Global Directional Portfolio, which is up 11% YTD. The top 3 performing programs in the AlternativeEdge Short-Term Traders Index (which rose 2.12% in September, 11.3% YTD) were R.G. Niederhoffer Negative Correlation (+17.4% est.), R.G. Niederhoffer Diversified (+14.7% est.) and the Conquest Macro Fund (+8.46% est.). Opalesque has also just received the September performance for the AIMhedge�s systematic fund, which is up 5.07% (almost 39% YTD). But on the other hand the market turmoil and Lehman�s collapse forced the Amsterdam-based quantitative hedge fund HiQ Invest to close out some positions at significant losses.

�Over the last couple of months we have seen big moves in the market which help quant funds to perform well,� noted Karsten Schroeder. �Generally speaking, the bigger the herd mentality in the market, the greed or fear phenomenon � obviously at the moment it is fear � the better these quantitative models can be exploited��

It is true that the short-selling bans on financials did affect some quant funds, but the Amplitude strategy, which aims to take advantage of the market�s volatility, was not. However, the new Amplitude Select fund was affected by the US ban and its launch has therefore been postponed till January 1st (Opalesque exclusive on the Amplitude Select Fund.)

Strategy: systematic managed futures
At the QuantInvest conference in London last month, Peter Keutgens, senior investment consultant at Watson Wyatt, said that the typical 'core' quant processes were value, momentum and others. The current market for quants includes pure value managers (the few remaining quant pioneers and the post TMT generation); 'core' quant managers (long only and 130/30); hedge fund managers (long/short quant strategies); quant screen......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47810Quant_fund_Amplitude_returns_in_September.html

Monday, October 20, 2008

GFIA reports Brazilian hedge funds had reached $40bln in assets in July....

Singapore-based GFIA, the hedge fund consulting firm focused on developing markets, reports in its semi-annual Latin American Hedge Funds Note that as of July 2008 Brazil has grown to represent approximately $40bln of the hedge fund assets investing in Latin America (up from $31bln in 2007).

Expectations of Latin American hedge fund strategy shifts
The first local Latin American hedge funds appeared in Brazil in the mid-1990�s. GFIA identifies an onshore hedge fund industry of 340 funds (managed by 169 different managers) and reports almost half are macro funds, which have seen a decline in performance over the past few years. �Given the scarcity of opportunities in the macro trading space, we believe that macro managers may be forced to reshuffle their business models and �reinvent� themselves,� writes Peter Douglas, Principal at GFIA.

Two strategies which have gained footing in the region are long/short equities and fixed income. Long/short equities is the fastest growing strategy with an increa......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47800GFIA_reports_Brazilian_hedge_funds_had.html

SEC`s amendment to Reg SHO will increase costs in securities lending market ....

The Securities and Exchange Commission is adopting amendments to Regulation SHO under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (�Exchange Act�).

The amendments are intended to further reduce the number of persistent fails to deliver in certain equity securities by eliminating the options market maker exception to the close-out requirement of Regulation SHO. As a result of the amendments, fails to deliver in threshold securities that result from hedging activities by options market makers will no longer be excepted from Regulation SHO�s close-out requirement. The Commission is also providing guidance regarding bona fide market making activities for purposes of the market maker exception to Regulation SHO�s locate requirement. Effective date: October 17, 2008.

Finadium, a Concord, MA-based financial research house, has sent the following comments to Opalesque:

�Effective October 17, the SEC has repealed the options market maker exemption of Reg SHO. This means that when an options market maker shorts an equity, even in support of a bona fide options hedge, they will now be required to borrow a security to cover the short position like any other market participant. This closes out persistent fails. It does not entirely eliminate the options market maker exemption for Reg SHO securities.

- New demand from options market makers will substantially increase costs in the securities lending market, especially at a time when many asset holders are carefully evaluating the risks and benefits of their own lending programs.

- The options on harder to borrow securities often have larger spreads and more profit-making opportunities than highly liquid contracts on indices or large cap names. The loss of these options contracts will reduce a source of margin for options market makers. We expect that larger market makers will weather the storm wh......................

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47796amendment_to_Reg_SHO_will_increase.html

as CTA strategies continue to rack up gains...

Opalesque New York: Opalesque recently had the chance to speak with Patrick Welton, co-counder and CEO of Welton Investment Corporation, which manages a $500m global macro and managed futures portfolio. The strategy trades in approximately 100 markets spanning commodities, currencies, interest rates and stock indices. Welton�s Global Directional Portfolio (GDP) was incepted in 2004, has earned an average annual return of +15.44%, gained +0.87% in September, YTD returns of approximately +11%. Welton Investment Corporation is based in Carmel, California.

In Part Two of this piece, Welton discusses some of the concerns investors have expressed regarding the hedge fund industry, and how in the short term redemptions will generate opportunity for a managed futures strategy, and in the long term may be better for the entire industry.

Being uncorrelated to other strategies seems to take on an even stronger level of significance these days. It was reported that redemptions in the hedge fund industry, even if they occur in more modest numbers than anticipated could cripple an already illiquid equities market. Have you seen an increase in attention paid to your strategy as it proves itself to be uncorrelated to these markets?
I just spent a week in New York, and after multiple meetings with different potential clients your first sentence couldn�t be any truer. Being uncorrelated really has taken on a greater level of significance these days.

Many investors are profoundly disappointed right now because they always thought their �alternatives� would perform radically different than their �traditionals.� In other words, they thought they were non-correlated. As the events of 2008 have shown, however, the return drivers of both are often more closely related than many appreciated. For example, if some alternative strategies were initially viewed and benchmarked primarily as just variants of active equity and active credit, the chasm between investor expectations and reality wouldn�t be nearly as wide.

Painful as it�s been, and continues to be, the lessons of 2008 will strengthen the industry. Investors will now be able to revisit their primary purpose of an alternative asset allocation. If that purpose is to truly deliver diversification from their traditional asset holdings then alternative asset allocations will like be repurposed toward the truly uncorrelated strategies such as managed futures and broadly diversified macro that are currently being highlighted for the diversification that they actually deliver....

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47781as_CTA_strategies_continue_to_rack_up.html


Review of hedge fund launches....

Hedge Fund News London: A roundup of last week�s hedge fund launches, closures, index performance, trends, regulatory, legal and financial events pertaining the alternative investments world.

Last week, we heard of fund and platform launches from Permal Investment Management Services, SteelTeam, KMK, Compass, Minuteman, Valens Capital and Laurus, Galena, ARCH Financial, Informed Portfolio Management, La Fayette, Russell Investments, Finvest A.M., Arcoda, Swiss-Asia, and CopperTree. Nick Roditi set up Belvedere Investment Partners, an asset manager in London that will focus on Asian investments.

Gartmore stopped its L/S hedge fund launch over the shorting ban and YouGov abandoned its hedge fund plans due to lack of funds.

Threadneedle was said to plan new hedge fund despite collapse of its long/short credit fund; Absolute Capital decided to close two of its hedge funds; Highland Capital also shut two of its funds, and rumors said Tontine Partners was under liquidation. Many funds announced negative results, notably Citadel�s which fell 30%. Watson Wyatt reported that top fund managers had posted the slowest asset growth in five years.

Morningstar Hedge Fund Index dropped 7.87% in September, -13.17% in 3Q, the RBC Hedge 250 Index went down 7.67% (est.), -13.17% YTD, the Credit Suisse/Tremont Hedge Fund Index was down 6.55%, -9.87%YTD, the HFRI Fund Weighted Composite Index collapsed 5.42%, -10.11% YTD, the Scotia Capital Canadian Hedge Fund Index -11.17%, and all Canadian Hedge Watch indices were negative.

While some said that the number of hedge funds could halve in 2009, TABB Group reported that H2-2008 would see 700 to 1,000 funds (15% of the industry) closing, and Morgan Stanley�s CEO John Mack claimed that 30% of hedge funds might disappear. Time Magazine reported that hedge funds had already lost nearly $300bln YTD.

General panic selling saw the share prices of listed hedge fundsfall drastically in recent weeks; as a result, investors in Marshall Wace�s London-listed MW Tops hedge fund were offered the chance to withdraw from the fund at close to its underlying NAV. Another phenomenon was observed in the equity market: hedge funds forced to sell off equities had driven the collapse in equity markets in recent months, with the stocks in which hedge funds held the largest stakes had massively underperformed. It was also noted that hedge funds were under pressure to liquidate positions as banks asked for more collateral, and that they targeted corporate lending as banks were drying up.

Some FoHF houses reweighted their hedge fund exposures, some hedge fund managers moved to cash to ride out the storm while others still saw a great opportunity to invest in affected banks, or in the life insurance settlement industry. It was reported that hedge funds had cut OTC derivative contracts by almost half, and that London funds were shifting billions of dollars to New York banks because of worries about the British bankruptcy regime.

Da Vinci hedge fund suspended redemptions and Mark Sellers locked redemptions on his energy fund with plans to liquidate later. It was observed that funds of funds were facing unprecedented withdrawals; J.P. Morgan estimated $100bln in redemption requests for FoHFs in the fourth quarter; TrimTabs reported that U.S. hedge fund withdrawals had hit $43bln in September; and Eurekahedge said that the total industry had lost $80bln in Sep 08 (and was down to US$1.8tln).

As hedge funds are pulling their accounts from securities firms, Conifer Securities launched prime brokerage services in response to the migration trends, JPMorgan prime-brokerage reported that hedge fund assets rose by 25%, and Fidelity�s by 40% in the last 12 months.

Despite the financial crisis, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, State Street reported $2.6bln in profits but Merrill posted a $7.5bln loss and Citigroup posted a 4th straight loss on write-downs. Lending rates between banks in the U.S. and Europe continued to fall, and this was seen as �evidence that credit markets were thawing gradually as central banks pumped more liquidity into the financial system and relaxed rules for banks to obtain credit.�

Morgan Stanley was forced to renegotiate the terms of a planned $9bn cash injection (and 21% stake) from Japan�s Mitsubishi UFG, following a fall in share price. The deal went ahead and the bank� shares subsequently soared. It was said that it would start buying banks.

Investigators revealed that top officials at AIG had known of potential problems in valuing derivative contracts long before these transactions caused the insurer's shareholders severe pain. And New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo probed the `outrageous` AIG spending. Congressional critics suggested that the former Goldman Sachs CEO Henry Paulson (now Treasury secretary) had been biased in his decision to bail out AIG. Meanwhile, Ambac and other bond insurers worked on a plan to sell troubled assets to the US government, and UK insurers Prudential and Legal & General showed signs of trouble.

Hong Kong legislators blamed regulators of failing to monitor banks that sold billions of dollars worth of Lehman Brothers-backed bonds to more than 40,000 Hong Kongers. Lehman�s hedge fund clients were facing margin calls on frozen assets; the UK FSA allowed trading companies to cancel unsettled Lehman transactions. A judge approved Lehman�s sale of Neuberger and of a stake in R3 Capital Partners; Lehman was said to be looking to unwind derivatives trades.

The U.S. administration, following similar moves by European governments that sent global stock.....

Source:
http://www.opalesque.com/AMB2008/47780Review_of_hedge_fund_launches_closures_trends.html